A recent discovery: William Chislett on Spain
2 months ago
But Spain’s current situation is in several respects far worse than Japan’s back then. First, Japan had a currency, which devalued in real terms by 20 per cent over the six years to 2002, aiding adjustment. Spain is fixed in the euro.
Second, having a currency, Japan also had a monetary policy – the famous “ZIRP”, zero-interest-rate-policy. Spain’s monetary conditions are set by the ECB in Frankfurt, with recent tightening that could hardly be more unsuitable for Spain.
Third, Japan had an independent fiscal policy, and ran large budget deficits to offset private-sector debt repayment via financial surpluses. Spain is under orders from its eurozone “partners” to slash its deficits, “no matter how politically painful” to quote Wolfgang Schäuble, German finance minister, in Financial Times columns recently.
Fourth, Japan had (and has) flexible wages – downward in nominal terms as well as upward. In the six years from 1997, as recession hit, average nominal weekly wages fell by 1¼ per cent a year – and they have continued to fall (on average) since then, though more slowly. Spain, by contrast, has a consistent inflation record and in many cases index-linked wage increases. Lastly, Japan was handling its problems in a broadly expansionary world economy, which Spain regrettably cannot hope for.
The chances are high of a Spanish asset price slide and banking crisis, with stagnation (at best) or depression, if it sticks in the euro.
Facts for thought
Will you have sex? The government will provide you with condoms.
You already had sex? The government offers you the day-after pill.
She got pregnant? The government garantees an abortion.
You got the child? The government gives you a cheque worth 2.500 Euro.
You are unemployed? The government will pay you an assistance.
You are lazy and don't like to work? The government will guarantee your survival.
Now, try to study, work, produce something and look what will happen:
the government will increase your taxes to pay for all the above mentioned.
We learn: f***, abort, be lazy as ****, but never ever think about working hard; that won't be paid by the government and you will have to sustain all the lazy folk in Spain.